Thursday, May 16, 2019

Do Institutional Structures Shape Political Outcomes? Yes, Until Those Structures are Ignored



While we are here in the UK, students are required to write a daily journal entry. I provide a prompt for the students to respond to based upon what we’ve seen and experienced throughout the day. After visiting the Scottish Parliament, I asked them whether the institutional arrangements and structures of the Parliament produce a different politics from Westminster. It is something I hear a lot when I visit the Parliament, and certainly, it was well-expected by the founders of the institution expected a “New Politics” to emerge as a result.

My students were generally not convinced that the Scottish Parliamentary experience was all that different from the way in which politics is practiced the world over. In fact, they were downright cynical at the prospect that institutional structures could shape political behavior or outcomes all that much.

As an institutionalist, I was chagrined to say the least. I’ve built a career, and a research agenda, on the notion that the structures of politics shape behavior. Have I been simply unconvincing in the classroom on this point?

And yet, in some respects, there is a grain of truth in what the students claimed. Some institutional structures matter a lot, while others have little effect. My own research on First Minister’s Questions in the Scottish Parliament suggests that the tone of questions asked in the chamber may be more negative and combative than in Westminster despite all the ballyhoo and hype we hear about how the horseshoe shape of the chamber and the electoral system inspires a consensual rather than combative deliberation. Yet, the electoral system does matter. MSPs almost universally claim that regional members behave differently than those representing constituencies. And the evidence bears this out: they participate differently in the chamber, committee, and in their propensity to hold surgeries. In this case, structural arrangements do shape incentives. Regional MSPs do more party and legislative work, while constituency members pay more attention to the folks back home.

The point made by my students, however, is that politics is conflictual no matter how you slice it. Parties differ as to how to policy priorities and the distribution of power in society. They differ as to the ability to govern and how to do it. Conflict is essential to politics and expected—no matter how voters chose their legislators or the architectural design of the assembly space.

The problem, at the end of the day, is while conflict is necessary to politics, most people—including my students—do not like conflict. Perhaps the question is not whether a particular political system mitigates conflict but whether a political system can, based upon how the system is structured, can harness conflict productively. In the American system, voters are often frustrated by what is perceived to be a conflict that yields few results. Our politics is more partisan and the differences between the parties wider than at any point since at least the Gilded Age. Yet this differences do not manifest in much policy production or change because of political system makes it difficult to produce policy. The people, wrongly in my mind, ascribe to the conflict and the people the blame. The system of checks and balances, if anything, should bear most of the brunt of the blame from the people as the vitriol produced by our hyper-partisan American politics.

Conversely, the conflict in the British system is mostly confined to debate and Question Time both at Westminster and Holyrood. Legislation is still produced and government functions because political change is not in the hands of individual MPs but in government ministers and bureaucrats that help them develop legislative policy. The “talking” legislature serves as a political safety value for society, but the conflictual talk does not generally impede policy progression. Indeed, Brexit is the exception that proves the rule: Because Brexit splits across the parties creates policy deadlock making it difficult for May’s minority government to produce results.

In the American case, policy production is hard with or without conflict. Perhaps most troubling, however, is the recent propensity of frustrated majorities to dispense with institutional safeguards to advance short term policy goals. And that’s truly worrying given that these institutional bumpers were put in place precisely to protect minority interests over the long term. We’ve seen an increasing willingness of executives to resort to executive orders to implement policy when frustrated by Congress. The process of advice and consent has become empty, and Senators are rushing to make the chamber less deliberative by eroding the power of the filibuster. In the pursuit of policy, our checks and balances are falling by the wayside in favor of expediency and the growth of executive power. In that sense, the American system is increasingly aping the British system but without the benefits of a vigorous public scrutiny of the executive outside of congressional hearings. And even those hearing are under threat as members of the executive branch refuse to respond to congressional subpoenas and even the president claims immunity from congressional scrutiny.

To come full circle, do institutional structures matter in politics? The answer is yes, but only in so much as those institutional structures are respected by those who engage in politics. One of my students constantly upholds our codified Constitution as superior to the uncodified British Constitution, saying that the United Kingdom relies far too much on convention and norms. My response to him is that codification matters little if the individuals responsible for implementing words chose to ignore them. And, it is at that precise point where political conflict becomes truly dangerous irrespective if the chamber sits in a horseshoe or on benches across from one another.

Monday, May 13, 2019

Kindness, Empathy, and Exploration

Today, I and the amazing Doralyn Rossmann (punster extraordinaire) took 16 MSU students up and down the Royal Mile in Edinburgh. We did all the things that tourists here do: We visited Holyrood Palace, Edinburgh Castle, and had a lovely tour provided by Kiersten--the Blue Badge Guide who has taught my students about Scotland since 2015. The day was spectacular--66 degrees, sunny, with a bright blue sky. Our first full day in Scotland did not disappoint.

After walking ten miles, our group convened to discuss our insights from the day. The students all had interesting insights into Scotland--the juxtaposition of the new with the old, the lack of racial diversity, the surprising number of tourists and the wide array of languages spoken, and the layers of history in Scotland--with buildings and traditions older than our own country. But the observation that struck me the most in the moment was made by one of my students who has a gluten allergy. She was struck by how kind and helpful she found Scots in helping her navigate menus in restaurants, and how appreciative she was for this kindness. She remarked that at home, in the United States, she has found that when she divulges her allergies at eateries, she is often treated poorly. Servers and hosts express annoyance when they have to prepare food differently to accommodate her allergy. She shared that at times, when she has sent food back that has been in the presence of gluten accidentally (when a bun is mistakenly put on a sandwich), sometimes servers will simply take the bun off and send the meal back--this despite the fact that even traces of gluten can have severe health consequences for her.

Conversely, her experience in Scotland has been one of empathy. Servers patiently work through recipe ingredients, making suggestions. Others have extensive recipe books they provide her and another student with allergies to make sure the students will not come into contact with anything harmful to their health. Another remarked at how helpful EU regulations are in identifying, consistently and clearly, possible allergens located in packed foods shelved in markets. In fact, we made a special trip to Marks and Spencer to load this student up with food she could safely eat--and her basket was quickly full in 15 minutes. And, best yet, the food was SUBSTANTIALLY cheaper than what she'd pay back home.

This makes it far easier for my students to enjoy one of the best parts of travel: Experiencing other cultures through food. Three of my students, including one with those food allergies, tried Indian food for the first time tonight. They came away as converts--and most importantly, the student with food allergies was easily able to explore without any fear of negative health consequences.

All of this resonates with one thing I've come to appreciate about Scotland: The kindness I feel here. Sure, Scotland and Scots can be rough around the edges as they themselves will admit, but in many respects, there is an effort to be inclusive and supportive of people. I remember back in 2017 when we visited an SNP campaign office, I suggest that I and my students would happily campaign on the doors for them during the election (we had done so for Labour and the Tories in London), but I thought our American accents would be a detriment. No, assured the office manager, it would not matter at all. If you lived in Scotland, you were a Scot--full stop.

Inclusiveness and kindness. Two qualities I've come to appreciate about Scotland and its people.

Thursday, May 2, 2019

I Predict a [Political] Riot

Yes, I'm totally watching coverage of the 2019 local government elections in England tonight. UK politics is clearly on my mind.

Is Sir John Curtice on TV? Yes, yes he is. Coverage of 2019 Local Elections
In about a week, I’ll be in a plane flying across the pond to lead my third group of Montana State British politics students across the UK. While the trip has evolved (from three to two weeks) and the cities have changed a bit (Belfast and York were dropped; Cardiff added), there has been one constant: We tend to show up when things in British politics are utterly fascinating and unexpected. 

For example:
1.      In 2015, we arrived two weeks after the General Election where the Conservatives, beat the odds and won a majority. All the polls and prediction models suggested a hung Parliament with Labour holding the most seats. But it was not to be. Ed Miliband resigned, Nick Clegg was out, David Cameron was a political genius, and we got tickets to the Queen’s Speech Debate.

2.      In 2017, David Cameron had left Number 10 in disgrace after losing the EU Referendum. Teresa May, looking at polls suggesting the Conservatives would crush a Corbyn-led Labour Party, went to Parliament and asked for an Election under the terms of the Fixed Terms Parliament Act. Conservatives happily voted for an election and so did Labour—with perhaps some members of the PLP hoping a Labour wipeout might force Corbyn from the leadership. We showed upon the middle of the campaign, and canvassed for both Labour and the Tories in a marginal seat in North London. We left before the campaign concluded, but again, the unexpected transpired: May lost her majority and was forced into a confidence and supply arrangement with the DUP.

3.      This time, we will drop into Edinburgh in the wake of May failing to pass her Brexit plan in Parliament after several goes, the date of Brexit pushed back to perhaps October, possible European elections to be held on May 23rd, and a set of local election results with a shocking showing for the Liberal Democrats, Greens, and Independent candidates. And, perhaps—just perhaps—Teresa May will no longer be Prime Minister by the time we leave on May 26th.

I can’t wait to land, again, in the middle of unprecedented political times and to show my students the Britain I’ve come to know and love. The one thing I’m itching to ask British politicians is if we are at the cusp of a fundamental transformation in the party system. Recent events seem to suggest precisely that: Voters are punishing the parties in their strongholds, suggesting both an exhaustion with the status quo and the apparent inability of either party to produce results. May and the Tories can’t seem to get the UK out of the EU, and Labour can’t seem to present a competent and compelling alternative. Which either party survive intact? That’s the £65,000 question.